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f13.net  |  f13.net General Forums  |  General Discussion  |  Topic: US East Coast weather fun ahead 0 Members and 3 Guests are viewing this topic.
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Author Topic: US East Coast weather fun ahead  (Read 35507 times)
Khaldun
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on: October 25, 2012, 12:23:37 PM

From Jeff Masters' blog at Weather Underground:

"Landfall Monday along the mid-Atlantic coast on Monday, as predicted by the ECMWF and NOGAPS models, would likely be a billion-dollar disaster. In this scenario, Sandy would be able to bring sustained winds near hurricane force over a wide stretch of heavily populated coast, causing massive power outages, as trees still in leaf fall and take out power lines. Sandy is expected to have tropical storm-force winds that extend out more than 300 miles from the center, which will drive a much larger storm surge than its winds would ordinarily suggest. The full moon is on Monday, which means astronomical tides will be at their peak for the month, increasing potential storm surge flooding. Fresh water flooding from heavy rains would also be a huge concern. Given the ECMWF's consistent handling of Sandy, I believe this mid-Atlantic scenario has a higher probability of occurring than the Northeast U.S. scenario. However, it is likely that the models are overdoing the strength of Sandy at landfall. The models have trouble handling the transition from tropical storm to extratropical storm in these type of situations, and I expect that the 940 mb central pressure of Sandy predicted at landfall Monday in Delaware by the ECMWF model is substantially overdone."
Shannow
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Reply #1 on: October 25, 2012, 12:35:31 PM

Something about winter storms colliding with Sandy and arctic fronts. Well played Mayans well played!

I'll be chuckling and stuff until an oak tree falls on my house.

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ghost
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Reply #2 on: October 25, 2012, 12:39:46 PM

If it hits NYC/New Jersey it could be serious business. 
Teleku
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Reply #3 on: October 25, 2012, 01:50:35 PM

I'm hoping for a direct hit on DC.  I want to see something at least resembling a hurricane dammit!  All the typhoons missed Japan in the year I was there.   sad

"My great-grandfather did not travel across four thousand miles of the Atlantic Ocean to see this nation overrun by immigrants.  He did it because he killed a man back in Ireland. That's the rumor."
-Stephen Colbert
Paelos
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Reply #4 on: October 25, 2012, 02:00:21 PM

This has the potential to make my GA/FL tailgate unfun.

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ghost
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Reply #5 on: October 25, 2012, 02:40:35 PM

Hot chicks in small clothes in the rain when it is mildly chilly?   awesome, for real
Paelos
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Reply #6 on: October 25, 2012, 06:48:24 PM

Hot chicks in small clothes in the rain when it is mildly chilly?   awesome, for real

No they don't WEAR the small clothes if it's rainy!

THE HORROR!

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Strazos
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Reply #7 on: October 25, 2012, 08:17:15 PM

If it hits NYC/New Jersey it could be serious business. 

Swear to god, I come back to this country for 3 weeks in two years, and I might get slammed by a hurricane? FFS  swamp poop

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Teleku
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Reply #8 on: October 25, 2012, 08:21:16 PM

Well, they do form off the coast of Africa.  Reap what you sow!   awesome, for real

"My great-grandfather did not travel across four thousand miles of the Atlantic Ocean to see this nation overrun by immigrants.  He did it because he killed a man back in Ireland. That's the rumor."
-Stephen Colbert
Surlyboi
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Reply #9 on: October 25, 2012, 08:38:12 PM

If I have to listen to another neighborhood bitch whining about the lack of organic beef on Sunday, I'm cutting motherfuckers.

Tuned in, immediately get to watch cringey Ubisoft talking head offering her deepest sympathies to the families impacted by the Orlando shooting while flanked by a man in a giraffe suit and some sort of "horrifically garish neon costumes through the ages" exhibit or something.  We need to stop this fucking planet right now and sort some shit out. -Kail
Teleku
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Reply #10 on: October 25, 2012, 09:10:25 PM

Did I, or did I not, see you mention that you are owner of a restaurant somewhere in the Bay Area.   Ohhhhh, I see.

"My great-grandfather did not travel across four thousand miles of the Atlantic Ocean to see this nation overrun by immigrants.  He did it because he killed a man back in Ireland. That's the rumor."
-Stephen Colbert
Ingmar
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Reply #11 on: October 25, 2012, 10:42:28 PM

I think it is a bar. Which has not had its identity revealed NOR have any offers of free beer for life been made.

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Lantyssa
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Reply #12 on: October 26, 2012, 05:24:21 AM

Restaurant with a bar, I believe.  If he made offers of free beer for life then he'd have some chick whining about how she doesn't drink beer and would appreciate free Cape Cods for life.  Which he totally needs to do.

Hahahaha!  I'm really good at this!
Numtini
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Reply #13 on: October 26, 2012, 07:20:47 AM

That's Cape Codder. Not Cape Cod. What a nasty drink.

Speaking of which, idiot coworker of the day quote: "If we're going to lose power for a week, I'm glad we added the landline to our comcast."


If you can read this, you're on a board populated by misogynist assholes.
Lantyssa
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Reply #14 on: October 26, 2012, 07:50:53 AM

 Facepalm

Hahahaha!  I'm really good at this!
Johny Cee
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Reply #15 on: October 26, 2012, 07:58:23 AM

That's Cape Codder. Not Cape Cod. What a nasty drink.

Speaking of which, idiot coworker of the day quote: "If we're going to lose power for a week, I'm glad we added the landline to our comcast."

Eh?

If it is a real land line, then the telephone is independent of the power grid and you will still be able to make calls with an older (no electric plug) telephone model even if the power lines go down as long as the phone lines stay up....  which in my experience happens fairly often.  My parents maintain an old push button phone solely to make calls/emergency calls during power outages.
Merusk
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Reply #16 on: October 26, 2012, 08:42:11 AM

Comcast landlines come through the Television cable line, I assume.


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CaptainNapkin
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Reply #17 on: October 26, 2012, 09:53:04 AM

What timing, I'll be flying from Montreal to LaGuardia on Tuesday. Though now it looks like could be an extra night in Montreal, there are worse places to be stuck I suppose.
Viin
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Reply #18 on: October 26, 2012, 09:56:53 AM

Comcast landlines come through the Television cable line, I assume.

Which require a router (which takes power) to segregate the VOIP from the TV from the Internet.

- Viin
Rendakor
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Reply #19 on: October 26, 2012, 10:04:50 AM

My Comcast-provided router/cable box takes a 9-volt battery for backup power, so it still works in an outage.

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Trippy
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Reply #20 on: October 26, 2012, 10:44:44 AM

The battery only works for a few hours, though.
Merusk
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Reply #21 on: October 26, 2012, 12:03:14 PM

Yeah, mine only works for 4 hours when power's out.

However; in this day and age I'm surprised people are relying on landlines instead of cell phones, which work unless the tower goes down.   They have their own generators for these situations, don't they?

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Trippy
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Reply #22 on: October 26, 2012, 12:48:13 PM

What happens when your cell phone battery runs out?
Ingmar
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Reply #23 on: October 26, 2012, 12:57:11 PM

That's one area where I'm firmly Luddite, I'm not ditching my PSTN land line. Having the possibility of cell phone OR land line is far superior in an emergency situation.

A 'land line' through a cable provider is not the same thing.

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01101010
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Reply #24 on: October 26, 2012, 01:00:02 PM

What happens when your cell phone battery runs out?


Solar power charger or go out to your car and plug it in. I did that last bit during the few hurricanes when power was out longer than my cel battery could last.

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Merusk
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Reply #25 on: October 26, 2012, 01:00:09 PM

What happens when your cell phone battery runs out?

I don't own one, but the wife does and it's not a smartphone.  If the battery runs out then we're fucked because the food ran out a day and a half earlier.  Oh ho ho ho. Reallllly?

For those of you with them, I recommend a car charger.

If the local phone company didn't demand $30 a month plus taxes, fees, 911 fee AND long distance charges, I'd still have a hardline.  (Smallest phone bill was $40)  

Since they don't, I pay $25 to have it through cable.   Well.. paid; the wife works for the cable company now so I don't pay anything.

The past cannot be changed. The future is yet within your power.
Strazos
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Reply #26 on: October 26, 2012, 03:19:47 PM

I guess we'll see how many of my 3 flights in the next week get fucked with...  swamp poop

Fear the Backstab!
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Teleku
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Reply #27 on: October 26, 2012, 03:26:20 PM

Well, this is all very appropriate.  My class Monday and Tuesday is simulated training for what to do if a disaster hits our embassy.   awesome, for real

"My great-grandfather did not travel across four thousand miles of the Atlantic Ocean to see this nation overrun by immigrants.  He did it because he killed a man back in Ireland. That's the rumor."
-Stephen Colbert
Khaldun
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Reply #28 on: October 26, 2012, 04:00:54 PM

I do not think anyone is flying to NYC Tuesday. Or Wednesday. Or maybe Thursday or even Friday.
CaptainNapkin
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Reply #29 on: October 26, 2012, 06:29:37 PM

I do not think anyone is flying to NYC Tuesday. Or Wednesday. Or maybe Thursday or even Friday.
Yup, agree. I cancelled Jersey and re-routed through Chicago.
WayAbvPar
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Reply #30 on: October 26, 2012, 06:44:56 PM

Well, this is all very appropriate.  My class Monday and Tuesday is simulated training for what to do if a disaster hits our embassy.   awesome, for real
awesome, for real

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Surlyboi
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Reply #31 on: October 26, 2012, 11:06:47 PM

New York City wine bar/restaurant. I'm looking to build a sake brewery/restaurant in the BA sometime in the next 24 months, just need to find the real estate and a few other things. I do own a house in Palo Alto though.

Tuned in, immediately get to watch cringey Ubisoft talking head offering her deepest sympathies to the families impacted by the Orlando shooting while flanked by a man in a giraffe suit and some sort of "horrifically garish neon costumes through the ages" exhibit or something.  We need to stop this fucking planet right now and sort some shit out. -Kail
Sheepherder
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Reply #32 on: October 27, 2012, 02:21:02 AM

However; in this day and age I'm surprised people are relying on landlines instead of cell phones, which work unless the tower goes down.   They have their own generators for these situations, don't they?

Towers go down within minutes of any major incident.  Turns out they're not equipped to handle simultaneous transmission of data from every human being in a five kilometer radius after all.
Numtini
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Reply #33 on: October 27, 2012, 06:22:53 AM

Quote
However; in this day and age I'm surprised people are relying on landlines instead of cell phones,

She actually had put in the comcast "land line" because "landlines work when there's no power." awesome, for real

In addition to any battery backup on comcast only working for a few hours, after a certain amount of time, the lines themselves go down. We have generators in our buildings and during Irene sometime during the night without power, comcast went dead on the poles.

If you can read this, you're on a board populated by misogynist assholes.
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WWW
Reply #34 on: October 27, 2012, 07:23:01 AM

Boss wanted me to fly into New York on Monday to have a meeting with the board. I emailed them back and told them to keep the $450 for the flight and buy water. New York is about to be in the shit.
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