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Author Topic: MLB 2018  (Read 702 times)
Paelos
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on: April 04, 2018, 09:16:00 AM

Braves have the #1 offense in the league after 5 games. I'm clinging to this before the inevitable decline.

Here's my predictions for the MLB season playoffs:

NL Division Winners: Nationals, Cardinals, Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Brewers, Diamondbacks

AL Division Winners: Astros, Twins, Red Sox
AL Wild Cards: Yankees, Blue Jays

I think the AL East is going to molly-whomp everybody else in that league, and I think the AL Central is going to be hot garbage to watch. Same with the NL East. I think it's basically the Nats and the rest of the division will struggle to get above .500.

CPA, Sports blogger, Mount and Blade enthusiast
Braves by the Numbers, my sports blog
HaemishM
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Reply #1 on: April 04, 2018, 09:34:21 AM

The Cardinals? What the fuck are you smoking? They do not remotely have the pitching or positional depth to win the NL Central division this year. That division is the Cubs to lose and I think over a 162 game season, they will win it by a good 4-8 games. The Pirates are rebuilding, the Reds are rebuilding, and I don't know that the Brewers did enough to improve. I also don't think the Nationals are a lock to be the best team in the NL, though yeah, they win the NL East hands down. The Dodgers are still the team to beat in the NL, in my opinion, not least because the Nats are almost guaranteed to shot their own face off in the playoffs. I wouldn't write the Phillies or the Braves off as sleeper wild cards.

As for the AL, despite their pitching, I think the Yankees win the AL East and the Blue Jays are nowhere near competitive. The Indians and Red Sox are the wild cards. The West might be slightly more competitive as I think the Angels and Rangers will be better but none of them will compete with the Astros.

Paelos
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Posts: 26814

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Reply #2 on: April 04, 2018, 12:14:08 PM

I'm not as high on the Cubs pitching as others and the Cardinals have an unexpected year in them. They've done it before, and I think the Cubs are due for a WTF season after several good ones in a row. That's a gut pick more than a stats pick.

The AL is a crapshoot. I know the Yankees will be good, but how good? No idea. I think the Blue Jays get in the playoffs, and I think the Red Sox do as well.  Maybe the Indians? I like the Twins more. Astros better not fuck it up.

CPA, Sports blogger, Mount and Blade enthusiast
Braves by the Numbers, my sports blog
01101010
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Reply #3 on: April 04, 2018, 12:16:11 PM

Twins?? I mean come on...

Go Tribe.

Which will inevitably shit the bed come Sept if they aren't already out of it

"I want to watch it all burn in an orgy of smashed Coke machines and weasel rape." - HaemishM
Phildo
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Reply #4 on: April 04, 2018, 12:34:54 PM

Yeah, Cleveland's going to clean up the AL Central.  I agree that the Angels will challenge for the wildcard spot as well, doubt the Twins can hang in for the entire season.

Meanwhile, I'm enjoying Pittsburgh's currently undefeated season for all it's worth.
Ginaz
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Reply #5 on: April 04, 2018, 05:07:23 PM

Braves have the #1 offense in the league after 5 games. I'm clinging to this before the inevitable decline.

Here's my predictions for the MLB season playoffs:

NL Division Winners: Nationals, Cardinals, Dodgers
NL Wild Cards: Brewers, Diamondbacks

AL Division Winners: Astros, Twins, Red Sox
AL Wild Cards: Yankees, Blue Jays

I think the AL East is going to molly-whomp everybody else in that league, and I think the AL Central is going to be hot garbage to watch. Same with the NL East. I think it's basically the Nats and the rest of the division will struggle to get above .500.


The Blue Jays? Head scratch  I think they'll have to be lucky to even reach 500 or even close to it.

Shame Is a component of the Discount - k3b2h3g46c0a
Remember, I live in a world where juggalos and yugioh players are real things. - Schild
Goumindong
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Reply #6 on: April 05, 2018, 03:31:49 PM

This is going to be the year of he AL West. Astros > Angels > Mariners. And the Mariners will be over 500.

Yankees take the east. Doesn’t matter who wins the center.
Paelos
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Posts: 26814

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Reply #7 on: April 05, 2018, 03:54:14 PM

The Blue Jays were my crazy pick. There's usually one division with a crazy surprise.

CPA, Sports blogger, Mount and Blade enthusiast
Braves by the Numbers, my sports blog
WayAbvPar
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Reply #8 on: April 07, 2018, 12:45:49 PM

I was in Vegas at the end of February and wanted to put some money on WS futures, but the odds were garbage. Pity. Hell, I couldn't get more than 22-1 on the fucking Mariners (who are about 10x that). Didn't take it.

When speaking of the MMOG industry, the glass may be half full, but it's full of urine. HaemishM

Always wear clean underwear because you never know when a Tory Government is going to fuck you.- Ironwood

Who the hell taught you how to write? Fuck, that sentence is like internet transmitted face-attacking knives. Jesus. schild
Paelos
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Posts: 26814

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Reply #9 on: April 07, 2018, 01:29:19 PM

Vegas hates baseball because it's where the best gamblers kill them

CPA, Sports blogger, Mount and Blade enthusiast
Braves by the Numbers, my sports blog
Goumindong
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Reply #10 on: April 07, 2018, 01:35:06 PM

I was in Vegas at the end of February and wanted to put some money on WS futures, but the odds were garbage. Pity. Hell, I couldn't get more than 22-1 on the fucking Mariners (who are about 10x that). Didn't take it.

Yea, those odds are super garbage. 66% as likely as the average team to make the WS? Ah ha ha ha ha.  

Edit: 66% of a parity league rather
WayAbvPar
Moderator
Posts: 18959


Reply #11 on: May 08, 2018, 09:01:28 PM

Paxton!


When speaking of the MMOG industry, the glass may be half full, but it's full of urine. HaemishM

Always wear clean underwear because you never know when a Tory Government is going to fuck you.- Ironwood

Who the hell taught you how to write? Fuck, that sentence is like internet transmitted face-attacking knives. Jesus. schild
WayAbvPar
Moderator
Posts: 18959


Reply #12 on: May 08, 2018, 09:03:11 PM

Also-
Spotted on Twitter:

Quote
There have been 22 no-hitters thrown by individual pitchers since June 2012.

Just four have been thrown by AL pitchers vs. AL teams.

Three of those four have come from Mariners (Hernandez, Iwakuma and now Paxton).

That is crazy.

When speaking of the MMOG industry, the glass may be half full, but it's full of urine. HaemishM

Always wear clean underwear because you never know when a Tory Government is going to fuck you.- Ironwood

Who the hell taught you how to write? Fuck, that sentence is like internet transmitted face-attacking knives. Jesus. schild
Ginaz
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Posts: 3444


Reply #13 on: May 09, 2018, 03:46:19 PM

Also-
Spotted on Twitter:

Quote
There have been 22 no-hitters thrown by individual pitchers since June 2012.

Just four have been thrown by AL pitchers vs. AL teams.

Three of those four have come from Mariners (Hernandez, Iwakuma and now Paxton).

That is crazy.

There's no DH in the NL, which will skew the numbers quite a bit.  No idea why it's been mostly M's in AL, though.

Shame Is a component of the Discount - k3b2h3g46c0a
Remember, I live in a world where juggalos and yugioh players are real things. - Schild
Trippy
Administrator
Posts: 20876


Reply #14 on: May 09, 2018, 04:53:45 PM

If I'm counting correctly there have been 57 AL no-hitters* and 59 NL no-hitters since the DH was implemented (1973).

* including multiple pitcher no-hitters
Goumindong
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Posts: 3774


Reply #15 on: May 10, 2018, 03:20:22 PM

Also-
Spotted on Twitter:

Quote
There have been 22 no-hitters thrown by individual pitchers since June 2012.

Just four have been thrown by AL pitchers vs. AL teams.

Three of those four have come from Mariners (Hernandez, Iwakuma and now Paxton).

That is crazy.

There's no DH in the NL, which will skew the numbers quite a bit.  No idea why it's been mostly M's in AL, though.

A little bit is luck a little bit is design a little bit is the fact that the Mariners are always playing an uphill battle.

 Safeco, before the most recent bringing in of the walls, was a notoriously bad park for hitters. Its low altitude (more air for the ball to push through) and the primary open face is from the north, which is also where the wind blows form most often, and that pushes right down from left center field towards the plate. And on top of this, before the teams redesign the field was made "dead" in order to reduce bounces. As a result we went with a defensive and pitching focused team (and lost a lot) and shepherded some of the better pitchers through the league so they could rack up amazing advanced stats in the days before advanced stats mattered and get passed over for accolades in favor of worse pitchers

And then, on top of all that the Mariners have the longest travel distance in the league most every year because we're the furthest team from everyone else. This is super bad for us because we have to travel east (traveling east is worse than traveling west) but it still does give us a slight advantage in home games/stands. Because all the teams that come to us have, at minimum, a 700 mile trip(this assumes they came from Oakland)

That slight edge means its just slightly more likely that we have better pitching outings. So combine some of the better pitchers in the league at the time (Hernandez and Iwakuma) and its not too hard to see why the M's are most likely to have more no-hitters than other teams.

Of course, Paxton threw his in the face of all of those disadvantages. Rogers Field is hard as a rock; its a dome with no wind at almost 1 mile of elevation and Paxton got into town at 3 AM the prior night on a flight from Seattle. Though at the very least the Blue Jays had a long trip the prior as well(from Florida) and also stink this year. Paxton has been on the rise in recent years and is definitely our ace now even if he doesn't get top billing compared to Hernandez. He was coming off a similarly dominating performance in his prior outing
Phildo
Contributor
Posts: 5355


Reply #16 on: May 15, 2018, 01:28:14 PM

And in other Seattle new:  Cano gets 80-day PED suspension.
HaemishM
Staff Emeritus
Posts: 39225

Prevent all damage that would be dealt to you and other troops you control.


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Reply #17 on: May 15, 2018, 02:16:54 PM

Wasn't that his second suspension?

At least the time he's on the DL will count.

Paelos
Contributor
Posts: 26814

Error 404: Title not found.


Reply #18 on: May 16, 2018, 02:02:43 PM

Braves got jobbed on a home plate replay because apparently the NY replay guys are just going to say there's not enough evidence after 3 camera angles show you a guy is safe.

CPA, Sports blogger, Mount and Blade enthusiast
Braves by the Numbers, my sports blog
WayAbvPar
Moderator
Posts: 18959


Reply #19 on: May 16, 2018, 06:26:49 PM

Wasn't that his second suspension?

At least the time he's on the DL will count.
Also means that if by some miracle Seattle makes the post season, he is ineligible. So basically a tac nuke on the season.

When speaking of the MMOG industry, the glass may be half full, but it's full of urine. HaemishM

Always wear clean underwear because you never know when a Tory Government is going to fuck you.- Ironwood

Who the hell taught you how to write? Fuck, that sentence is like internet transmitted face-attacking knives. Jesus. schild
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