2013 NBA

[Threash]

Moe Williams and Antawn Jamison did better in the 09 playoffs than Wade/Bosh are doing in this one.

2009 Mo: 16-4, .530 TS%
2013 wade: 14-6, .499 TS%

2009 Jamison: 15/7, .540 TS%
2013 Bosh : 13/6, .570 TS%

[Paelos]

This series is a sham. Bring on the Spurs already so we can get a real match.

[ghost]

Alright.  I'm taking the Pacers tonight.  Now you can place your bets as you see fit.   

[Paelos]

You don't believe that for a second lol

[Rasix]

What's the over/under on Wade/Bosh combining to score more than Lebron? 

[Paelos]

What's the over/under on Wade/Bosh combining to score more than Lebron? 

Over under on Lebron is 30.5
Over under on Wade is 16.5
Over under on Bosh is 13.5

[Ingmar]

The way Wade has been gimping around I can absolutely see Miami losing. Too close to call for me to bet on it.

[Malakili]

The way Wade has been gimping around I can absolutely see Miami losing. Too close to call for me to bet on it.

Wade had some legs tonight, I wonder how much cortisone they shot him full of before the game/at half.

[Paelos]

Nobody actually thought it was going to be a Heat loss, but that was just terrible. The second quarter was all I could stand. The Pacers had nothing, and you could tell at half the game was over.

[Rasix]

Nobody actually thought it was going to be a Heat loss,

Well, almost no one.  Quick ghost, give us your prediction.  I'd like to place a bet before you change your mind.

[ghost]

The Heat will sweep the Spurs.   

[Paelos]

Yep, those Spurs. Never gonna do it. 

[ghost]

Sweep, I say.   

[DevilsAdvocate25]

You know the Heat are in trouble at the end of the game when they start to settle for jump shots. And Battier has totally lost his touch. If I remember right, he didn't even play game 7 against the Pacers because of his abyssmal shooting. Now he has a chance to prove it was a fluke and misses key shots at the end of Game 1 of the Finals. He needs to play earlier minutes so he can find his shot again.

[Threash]

The best thing is the Spurs did not play all that great, they missed a fuck ton of wide open three pointers.

[Paelos]

There is a pattern here though. The Heat will crush them in game 2.

[ghost]

There is a pattern here though. The Heat will crush them in game 2.

The Spurs may let them crush them in game 2.  They have home court advantage now.

[Paelos]

I don't believe there's such a thing as home court advantage in this series. Both teams are finals tested, both teams have heavy veteran presence, and both teams have won rings. Nobody is going to be intimidated by fans.

[Hoax]

Certainly not by these fans. I mean the Miami fans are pathetic fake assholes but the Spurs fans don't create any kind of imposing atmosphere at home either.

[ghost]

Pretty good article from Cracked about the NBA being rigged.

In 2011, and with a potential NBA lockout looming on the horizon (read: potential wasted millions), Stern held a closed-door meeting with players union chief Billy Hunter and many of the league's stars. Hunter claimed in the meeting that David Stern no longer had the sway David Stern thought David Stern did. This is how a pissed off Stern responded:
Stern told the room he knows where "the bodies are buried" in the NBA, witnesses recounted, because he had buried some of them himself.

I guess all sports probably have some degree of shenanigans going on behind the scenes.  Baseball is probably the most rigged, although it's the players rigging themselves.

[Paelos]

There is a pattern here though. The Heat will crush them in game 2.

Yar.

[ghost]

Maybe you've just broken David Stern's code.   

[Paelos]

Maybe you've just broken David Stern's code.   

Next game is a tossup. Neither team has gone down 2-1, neither team has lost a game 3.

[ghost]

Heat in a tight game.  It's Stern's game now.   

[ghost]

What a fucking beatdown.   

[Paelos]

Vegas knew something. They had the Heat as a two point dog. They were setting everyone up.

[ghost]

Why do you say that?  I mean, it's pretty clear from Stern's actions and some of the shitty playoff refereeing in the past that some of these games are fixed, but you just don't fix a 36 point win.

This game is a good example of why Lebron doesn't get the credit that some of the guys like Jordan and Kobe get.  He just faded.  There was a point at the end of the third quarter when James scored 7 or 9 straight points and I thought that he was going to start asserting himself.  Instead he just wilted into "making the extra pass" mode, which is why he's still got a ways to go to be at the super-elite level.

[Azuredream]

This game is a good example of why Lebron doesn't get the credit that some of the guys like Jordan and Kobe get.  He just faded.  There was a point at the end of the third quarter when James scored 7 or 9 straight points and I thought that he was going to start asserting himself.  Instead he just wilted into "making the extra pass" mode, which is why he's still got a ways to go to be at the super-elite level.

Incoming LeBron triple double leading the Heat to a 20 point victory.

Just sayin', with your predictions, generally the guys on the floor seem to read your posts so they know to do the complete opposite.

[Paelos]

I don't think the Heat are going down 3-1 in the series. I do believe Stern puppets the game a bit, but when the Heat realized they weren't going to be in the game, they quit. Normally, I hate that in a team, but this is the NBA. They quit all the time in games that are out of hand.

I don't really put stock in how much you lose by, except on my bets. I had no action on the game because the +2 on the Heat screamed too good to be true, which is usually the case.

[ghost]

Incoming LeBron triple double leading the Heat to a 20 point victory.

Just sayin', with your predictions, generally the guys on the floor seem to read your posts so they know to do the complete opposite.

This is true-  if you gamble, bet the opposite of what I predict, particularly in games where I have some personal stake.

It should be noted, however, that there was no prediction in my post.  

Addendum-  Lebron had a triple double in the first game and the Spurs won in Miami.  He can't beat them by himself, at least not unless he's willing to score 40 plus points (which he's not). 


Paelos-  Spoelstra took all the stars out of the game, which made it appear even more egregious.  They were a bunch of limp dicks from the beginning of the game though.  

[Mosesandstick]

I don't really put stock in how much you lose by, except on my bets. I had no action on the game because the +2 on the Heat screamed too good to be true, which is usually the case.

I know you might be saying this in reference to a single data point but overall within a season a team's +/- is one of the better predictors of how good a team they actually are.

[Paelos]

I'm on Miami in this game. I think with an injured Parker, an angry Lebron, a Heat team that can't afford a loss, and a wild Stern appearing, this should be a Heat win.

[Brofellos]

Depends on if we get Oh Shit Everyone Is Staring At Me Lebron or I Just Remember I Am a G.O.A.T. Lebron.

[ghost]

The Spurs do a pretty good job of stymieing him.  I'm expecting a closer game.  It's rare for a team to shoot threes that well two games in a row.  But if the Spurs do shoot well again they could beat the Heat pretty easily. 

[Brofellos]

Maybe Green will finally regress to the mean and stop shooting 70% from 3 O_o