f13.net

The format is as before.  You list the winners only.  1pt for Wild Card games then the points double each round.

To help you, here is the initial bracket with the seeds so no one screws up the next round:

NFC
Vikings (6) @ Packers (3)
Seahawks (5) @ Redskins (4)
49ers BYE (2)
Falcons BYE (1)

AFC
Bengals (6) @ Texans (3)
Colts (5) @ Ravens (4)
Broncos BYE (1)
Patriots BYE (2)

_________________________________

My picks are

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Redskins, Texans, Colts
Division (2pt): Packers, Redskins, Broncos, Patriots
Conference (4pt): Packers, Broncos
Suberbowl (8pt): Broncos

Mine:


Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Colts
Division (2pt): Packers, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos
Conference (4pt): Packers, Broncos
Suberbowl (8pt): Broncos

Think I did that right.

Edit 01/07:
Wild Card: 3 pts
Division: 2pts
Total: 5pts!

This might help people:

(http://i.imgur.com/6uQjp.jpg) (http://imgur.com/6uQjp)

My picks:

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Colts
Division (2pt): Packers, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos
Conference (4pt): Seahawks, Broncos
Suberbowl (8pt): Broncos

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Colts
Division (2pt): 49ers, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos
Conference (4pt): Seahawks, Broncos
Suberbowl (8pt): Broncos

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Redskins, Cincy, Colts
Division (2pt): Packers, Redskins, Denver, Colts
Conference (4pt): Packers, Denver
Superbowl (8pt): Packers

Lots of Broncos love so far.

Ya, glad Paelos picked someone else to counter act the jinxing.

Cincinnati, Paelos?  Really? Why?

Houston lost 3 of their last 4, dropped out of the bye, and had to go to OT to beat the Jags and Lions.

Meanwhile Cincy wins 3 of their last 4, beat their traditional rivals to get in, and has a comparable QB with a better pass rush than the Texans.

Call it two teams trending in different directions.

Yall are stealing my Packers/Broncos prediction from a couple months back.  :awesome_for_real:

NFC
Vikings (6) @ Packers (3) - PACK ALL THE WAY! RODGERS! Seriously, playing at Lambeau should be the difference in what will probably be the best matchup of the weekend.
Seahawks (5) @ Redskins (4) - Sea Chickens. Can't see that defense not shutting down RGIII.

AFC
Bengals (6) @ Texans (3) - Game of the bleargs. I think Houston pulls this one out.
Colts (5) @ Ravens (4) - Colts in a stunner. I am absolutely not sold on the Ravens.
Broncos BYE (1)
Patriots BYE (2)

So by round:
Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Colts
Division (2pt): Packers, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos
Conference (4pt): Packers, Broncos
Suberbowl (8pt): Broncos

My picks (fuck the Bronco love. Pats all the way!)

Wildcard: Packers, Redskins, Texans, Colts.
Division: Falcons, 49ers, Broncos, Patriots.
Conference: 49ers, Patriots.
Superbowl: Patriots.

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Redskins, Bengals, Colts
Division (2pt): 49ers, Redskins, Broncos, Patriots
Conference (4pt): 49ers, Patriots
Suberbowl (8pt): Patriots

Flacco-itis is a nasty infection.

Willd Card (1pt): Colts, Texans, Redskins, Green Bay
Division (2pt): Packers, Washington, Patriots, Denver
Conference (4pt): Packers, Denver
Superbowl (8pt): Broncos

A lot of Falcons hate...makes me feel better about the pick for some wierd reason.

Why does it have to be hate? I like to view it as "just like the other team more".

Perhaps semantics, but all the teams worked hard to get where they are.

Mostly, it's that the Falcons are "okay" in general, and terrible at the run.

They are good at home, and it's also about match-ups.

If Minnesota wins against the Packers the Falcons would go to the conference championship.  That likely won't happen though.

Their best win, imo, is Week 2 at home against Denver. The talk here is that people shouldn't qualify that by saying "well it was early in the year." My problem with that logic is that they were playing a QB who sat out a year on the road for the first time. It was unequivocally Manning's worst game of the season, and the Falcons only won by 6.

People also say, yeah but they already beat Washington, and Seattle's not great on the road. True, but Washington played without their QB for a half (Falcons were losing that game before he was knocked the fuck out). Tampa has given the Falcons a run for their money twice. The Falcons have a negative pass rush. Their run defense is the absolute worst of any playoff team except for Indy. They haven't played a playoff team since Week 5. They played the absolute easiest schedule in the NFL this year, followed by Cincinnati, and Indianapolis.

They score fewer points per game than Washington against worse opponents. They give up more points per game than Seattle against worse teams. They might win. They might get past that mental block they have in the playoffs, even. They are going to have a score a lot to do it though.

The Falcons are just going to have to prove to me they can win in the playoffs. They haven't done so. There isn't a lot of difference personnel wise between this team and the team that got ABSOLUTELY SKULLFUCKED by the Giants last year.

If you can run on the Falcons, you will crush the fuck out of them. Tampa Bay went 144 on the ground, and won. Carolina went for 195 on the ground, and won. Saints go for 148 rushing, win.

Giants only went for 97 yards on the ground and got shut out. Detroit, 79 yards on the ground, loss. Saints 101 on the ground, loss. Tampa for 50 on the ground, loss.

The exception is Arizona who went 137 on the ground, and lost the game. The problem there was they are so hilariously shitty as a team, they couldn't capitalize on Matty Ice throwing 5 picks.

The Falcons will most likely be facing either Marshawn Lynch (SEA is #3 in Rushing) or Alfred Morris (WAS is #1).

And maybe if they get past that they run into #4 San Francisco, and if Minnesota beats GB then they bring the #2 rushing offense into Atlanta instead. The only bad rushing team in the NFC playoffs is Green Bay, other than the Falcons themselves.

I see your logic here.  As someone who's had to put up with them as the local franchise for the last 20 years I don't agree with it, but I see it.   They're just wildly inconsistent and know how to lose a game they should win while looking like contenders in meaningless (to them) games.

Willd Card (1pt): Colts, Bengals, 'Hawks, Packers
Division (2pt): Packers, 'Hawks, Bengals, Patriots
Conference (4pt): 'Hawks, Bengals
Superbowl (8pt): 'Hawks

 :awesome_for_real:


sorry about that... thanks for the horsecollar tackle.  :drill:

Your Divisional is screwed up. If Bengals advance from the first round, they play Broncos.

However, DeJuan Harris looks like he could be a solid, effective runner for the Packers. He could make the difference the same way James Starks did in the playoffs when the Pack won the Super Bowl.

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Colts

Division (2pt): Niners, Seahawks, Broncos, Patriots

Conference (4pt): Niners, Broncos

Superbowl (8pt): Niners :awesome_for_real:

55 -10  :grin:

(Actually what would make another 55-10 game special would be doing it vs. Luck...)

All extremely good points, except you just described their opponent as well.

Wildcard-
SEA over WAS
CIN over HOU
IND over BAL
GB over MIN

3/4 road teams..I am insane.

Divisional-

SEA over ATL
DEN over CIN
NE over IND
SF over GB

Conference
SEA over SF (god this will feel good if it happens, because fuck Harbaugh)
DEN over NE

Super Bowl
SEA over DEN- Seattle has beaten every other top team (I don't include the fraudulent Falcons or freefalling Texans in this), so this is the last one.

3 road victories and then the Super Bowl. Karma fucking OWES Seattle fans this.

No Seattle fan should say this in light of September 24th.  :awesome_for_real:

See my take on that in the NFL 2012 thread.

 I am talking about Super Bowl XL and the crap officiating. I am talking about 35 years of Mariner fandom getting shit on 90% of the time. I am talking about losing our only 'world' champion team to a corrupt owner (and commissioner) of a sport with a broken business model. I am talking about living through the Ty Willingham era. About the 'model franchise' in MLS shitting all over itself every autumn. I am even talking about my darling Hope Solo marrying Jerramy FUCKING Stevens. I have suffered enough, lawd. When's MY time?

Not this year.  :grin:

The bookies all seem pretty bullish on the Falcons relative to this thread, and my gut instinct. Seems like the odds are all pretty cut-and dried based on seeding and not much else.

The bookies are in the business of balancing bets on both sides, not predicting who will win. So that would indicate that all the money us going against them.

Wild Card (1pt): Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Ravens
Division (2pt): Packers, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos
Conference (4pt): Packers, Patriots
Suberbowl (8pt): Packers

Would rather put Denver in against the Packers, but despite Manning's feel-good story, I still think Brady has his number.

The beauty of Brady losing to both Manning's is just to perfect not to want, though.

Wild Card: Packers, Seahawks, Texans, Colts

Division: Niners, Seahawks, Broncos, Patriots

Conference: Niners, Patriots

Superbowl: Patriots

I will say that if the Pats win, it will fly right in the face of my belief that you have to have a sembleance of pass defense/rush to win a championship.

What he said. Pete Carroll and the Fail Mary fucked your karma in its eyeholes.

Worked for the Rams.  I also think that Belechick is a genius when it comes to big games.

I'm also wrong a lot.

I should preface that by saying I meant since 2004, the year of the "pass first" rule changes in the NFL.

WC: Packers, Seahawks, Bengals, Colts
DR: Packers, Seahawks, Patriots, Broncos
CC: Packers, Patriots
SB: Packers

If the game was in Foxboro I'd be fully confident of the Pats squeaking it out. Because its in Denver they'll most likely take a 20 point lead into the 4th quarter and find a way to blow it.

The pass defense being more the key than the pass rush imo. '04 Pats are a great example of this. They did not have much for sacks, interceptions, or fumble recoveries. What they did have was solid run defense (top 3 iirc) causing more throws into the coverage from some very good secondaries and their backups (who were also very good).

Beyond that, I do think the points allowed per game is what may keep the 2012 Pats competetive in the playoffs. They allow a lot of yards per game, but they only allow ~20ppg iirc. That is somewhat high compared to '04-'08 champions, but with the pass first NFL it is acceptable

Pats are just ABOVE 20 ppg.

The lowest in the playoffs are the Seahawks with 15, followed by the Niners with 17 and the Broncos with 18.

Wild Card (1pt)
Colts
Texans
Seahawks
Packers

Division (2pt)
Broncos
Patriots
Falcons
Niners

Conference (4pt)
Broncos
Niners

Super Bowl Champ (8pt)
Broncos

You realize only one person picked the Ravens to win?  Well done Cyrexx

Nobody expected the Colts OC/Head Coach to be a no-show.

I DID expect Flacco to be a no-show... which is what made the difference.

Honestly...I couldn't figure out what you were all thinking picking the Colts.  The Ravens almost always play good at home, and Flacco seems to have some kind of first round mojo.  Couple that with the fact that Andrew Luck really isn't that good (yet).  The only reason he didn't throw five picks was due to the sheer luck of the bounce and some serious butterfingers on the other side of the ball.  He seems terribly inaccurate for anything beyond 6 or 7 yards.

I was personally thinking that the Ravens had lost 4 of their last 5, for the most part against playoff caliber teams. I still believe with their true playcaller back there, the Colts would have scored in the first quarter, taken the lead, and set the tone. There's no way Arians would have passed that much in the game. Luck's workload is around 40 passes a game. He threw 54 in that game, even while the Colts were averaging 5 a carry on the ground. It wasn't a good gameplan to put it on his shoulders, especially with over 25 dropbacks in the first half.

Eliminated from contention:

shiznitz, sickrubik - Had the Redskins winning again and the rest of our picks are the same as someone else who picked the Seahawks.
Azuredream - One point behind Shannow and they have the same picks from here (except for Redskins and Falcons which at worst create a wash in 2nd round).
naum - same picks as Cyrrexx from here and 2pts behind him after WC.

Paelos looks to be in a bad way, but he is the only one with a Packers victory in a Packers/Broncos Superbowl so I think he can still win it.

Colts had a LOT of dropped passes. I didn't really see that happening.

Aaand I'm out.  :awesome_for_real:

Damnit.  I should've kept disagreeing with Paelos.

Hey, who knew the refs were Baltimore fans?  :awesome_for_real:

I think Cyrrex aces me out if the Pack wins. Oh well. Go Pack Go!

The Broncos fucked me up but I think I'm the only one who picked the Niners to win it all so I still have a chance.

It's going to be Flacco v. the Falcons at this rate of WTF.

Well, we pretty much all suck.

Here are the final what-if results:

1) 49ers - Pats SB with 49ers win: Trippy
2) 49ers - Pats SB with Pats win: Shannow beats Nebu by 1pt
3) 49ers - Ravens with 49ers win: Trippy
4) 49ers - Ravens with Ravens win: Hutch (has current highest score and that result helps no one remaining)
5) Falcons - Pats SB with Falcons win: Shannow
6) Falcons - Pats SB with Pats win: Shannow
7) Falcons - Ravens SB with Falcons win: Hutch
8) Falcons- Ravens SB with Ravens win: Hutch

Hutch was 3/4 in the first two rounds, so his point total through then gives him the win with a battle of the WTF teams.

I think if the Ravens or Falcons win, we declare ourselves all losers.

Well I was doing just fine until the pats decided to take a huge dump on themselves.  It's times like this that I remind myself I don't live in Cleveland.

I was going to say "Or Cincinnati" but at least they made it in to the playoffs, even if they pulled their normal "shit the bed when it matters" nonsense.

Now that my curse has worked so well for Dallas I'm picking the Steelers as my team next year.  I've held off due to my Cleveland & Cinci roots but after the strutting last year I've decided it's time.  Go Steelers. (buahaha)

So at this point is it just Trippy wins, or we forget we all participated in this mess?  :grin:

Looking at the Ravens as the underdog is the kind of thinking that got us into this mess in the first place  :grin:

I played baseball in high school, i.e. a long time ago. I had a knack for hitting low pop-ups (aka bloop singles) that went juuust far enough into the outfield so that no one could catch them. Unimpressive hits, but I'd be on base. My coach used to say "those count".

Whether the Niners or Ravens win, that's kind of how I feel about this contest. I'm on base, but not impressed about how I got there  :awesome_for_real:

I'll still boo you if you win with a dink single.  :why_so_serious:

Just confirmed this.  Also, Paelos, I think this is the first time someone only earned a single point.  There is something to be said for being contrary, but if one takes it too far then contrary is the wrong word! Four of us had only 4 points.

I need a Bob Uecker walk-off quote for my one point.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Y9myYc8Pn8o

BOOOOOOOOOO!